Skip to content
Patrick Marren
Patrick Marren

Author

  • Fatal Certainty – Coming Soon
  • Fatal Certainty – The Thesis
  • Blog
  • Biography – Patrick B. Marren
  • Contact & Links
  • Patrick Marren Video Clips
Patrick Marren

Author

Month: June 2024

Forecasting Free newspaper stacks image

Letter to the Columnist: Effective Altruism

admin, June 17, 2024June 17, 2024

The New York Times’ Peter Coy is “a veteran business and economics columnist.” Today he sent a newsletter out that was headlined “Effective Altruism Is Flawed. But What’s the Alternative?” I have thoughts. Coy writes, Of course, if you’ve read anything I’ve written here, you may sense that “rigorous academic…

ISBM article on my ideas about the “Cult of Prediction”

admin, June 8, 2024June 8, 2024

It was a great honor to share the central themes of my book Fatal Certainty with such an accomplished group of practitioners and academics, exactly the sort of people who can help to change the mindset driving quantitative (and even older-style non-quantitative) single-point forecasting, and it’s even a greater honor…

ISBM 2024 Academic Conference Presentation

admin, June 5, 2024June 5, 2024

I am honored and happy to be presenting some of the ideas from my forthcoming book, “Fatal Certainty,” this afternoon at the 2024 Joint Academic Conference & Members Meeting, “Foresight in B2B: the Next 40 Years in B2B Marketing,” at the Institute for the Study of Business Markets at the…

Archives

  • January 2025
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • February 2024
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023

Categories

  • Algorithms
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Economics
  • Fatal Certainty – Excerpts
  • Forecasting
  • Intersubjective Realities
  • Politics
  • Polls
  • Popular Culture
  • Prophecy
  • Received Wisdom
  • Rigorous Imagination
  • Society
  • The Cult of Prediction
  • Uncategorized
  • War
©2026 Patrick Marren | WordPress Theme by SuperbThemes