It was a great honor to share the central themes of my book Fatal Certainty with such an accomplished group of practitioners and academics, exactly the sort of people who can help to change the mindset driving quantitative (and even older-style non-quantitative) single-point forecasting, and it’s even a greater honor that they have taken their own stab at dramatizing some of the ideas I raised. Thanks to the Institute for the Study of Business Markets at the Smeal College of Business at Pennsylvania State University, and everyone who helped to organize this conference!
ISBM article on my ideas about the “Cult of Prediction”
