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Patrick Marren
Patrick Marren

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Patrick Marren

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Category: Forecasting

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The Economics Profession: Still Mostly in Thrall to the Cult of Prediction (with honorable exceptions)

admin, August 15, 2023August 18, 2023

July 25, 2023 A week or so ago, the economist Paul Krugman put out a subscribers-only opinion piece entitled “Camps of economists fought grand theoretical battles, and all lost.”  To his credit, he numbers himself among those who “lost” in these battles, which were over the likelihood of serious inflation…

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“The Data Delusion” vs. Rigorous Imagination

admin, August 15, 2023August 18, 2023

July 20, 2023 Jill LePore is a Harvard historian whose wide-ranging scholarship has embraced the broad sweep of American history (These Truths), Native American-colonial conflict (The Name of War), superheroes (The Secret History of Wonder Woman), and even the Beatles (introduction to Paul McCartney’s 1964: Eyes of the Storm).   In her…

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