Many thanks to Dr. Liam Fahey for the recent opportunity to present some of my ideas to his topflight group of strategy and intelligence executives in the Intelligence Leadership Forum. The Cult of Prediction has some fairly ancient roots, and rigorous imagination requires the abandonment of some familiar and profitable (if useless) approaches. Why we stink at rigorous imagination now, and why we need to get better…
Youtube link here.
Dead Certain: Presentation to the Intelligence Leadership Forum
