Q&A with the Futures Strategy Group (Peter Kennedy, Kevin McDermott, Gerard Smith) about Fatal Certainty and the Cult of Prediction
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zEsD0yZriFY
“Dead Certain:” Presentation to the Intelligence Leadership Forum, headed by Dr. Liam Fahey, on 20 October 2023.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asxQyzJAoZ8
Presentation to the Institute for the Study of Business Markets, Pennsylvania State University
I gave the following talk a few months ago, and it captures a lot of my shtick on “fatal certainty,” “the cult of prediction,” and the importance of rigorous imagination in strategic decision-making.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxzth2cJICQ